Democratic
Adelita Grijalva
Incumbent representative for AZ-7. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Adelita Grijalva favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+34.3
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+24.82026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Daniel Butierez
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for AZ-7. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for AZ-7; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Arizona's 7th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
House Republican Majority Turns Razor-Thin as Democrat Is Sworn In
Speaker Mike Johnson and the GOP have an even smaller House majority now after Democratic Representative Everton Blair of Georgia was sworn in on Capitol Hill Tuesday.Republicans now have a 218 to 213 advantage over Democrats, and they’ll be down one more vot…
The New Republic · September 1, 2026
The Arizona Tribe That’s Been Dragged Back Into Trump’s Border Wars
On April 28, Chairman Verlon Jose of the Tohono O’odham Nation received a message from a representative of the Department of Homeland Security. A contractor working on behalf of DHS to construct an additional border wall along the U.S.-Mexico border had destr…
The New Republic · August 10, 2026
After Lindsey Graham's death, sister joins long list of relatives who replaced late family members in Congress
From Julia Letlow to Adelita Grijalva, family succession in Congress has a long history that now includes Lindsey Graham's sister in the Senate.
Fox News · July 14, 2026
Key Democrat SLAMS White House: "NO CLEAR PATH" for legal immigration
Democratic Congresswoman Adelita Grijalva of Arizona joins Morning Joe to discuss the latest Supreme Court rulings connected ...
Biztoc.com · June 30, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗