Democratic
Bernadette Greene-Placentia
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Abraham Hamadeh favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+17.3
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+15.52026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Abraham Hamadeh
Incumbent representative for AZ-8. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for AZ-8. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for AZ-8; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Arizona's 8th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
'Beacon of selflessness': ISIS victim Kayla Mueller honored at congressman's swearing-in 10 years after death
Arizona Republican Rep. Abraham Hamadeh was sworn into office on Friday, honoring the memory of ISIS victim Kayla Mueller by using her family's Bible.
Fox News · January 3, 2025
'Want to go to prison?' MAGA lawyer threatens Arizona AG
Pro-Donald Trump lawyer Mike Davis of the Article III Project is going after Arizona Attorney General Kris Mayes, claiming, "You disenfranchised AZ voters and stole your election from Abraham Hamadeh."Although the election was two years ago, Davis is still an…
Raw Story · December 26, 2024
Abraham Hamadeh wins hotly contested Arizona GOP congressional primary
PHOENIX – Republican Abe Hamadeh came out victorious in the crowded Arizona Eighth Congressional District primary. The Associated Press called the race on Wednesday night — a day after voters hit the polls to cast their ballots in the hotly contested primary.…
New York Post · August 1, 2024
Trump endorses 2 GOP candidates in same key Arizona House primary
Former president and current Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump is endorsing both Abraham Hamadeh and Blake Masters in GOP primary for Arizona's 8th Congressional District.
Fox News · July 30, 2024
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗