Democratic
Bernadette Greene-Placentia
Major-party general-election nominee.
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Arizona District 8 election, 2026
Bernadette Greene-Placentia vs. Abraham Hamadeh. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Abraham Hamadeh favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+5.8
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
R+16.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±6.6 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Abraham Hamadeh
Incumbent representative for AZ-8. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for AZ-8. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Abraham HamadehREP · incumbent$1.4M raised
Spent $1.3MCash on hand $187kDebts $49k20% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Retired$127k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$41k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$16k
- Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals$15k
- Manufacturing & Industrial$10k
States
- AZ$171k
- CA$53k
- FL$41k
- TX$28k
- NY$22k
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for AZ-8; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Arizona's 8th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Arizona congressional candidate says she was raped in August while fixing a campaign sign
A congressional candidate in Arizona says she was raped this past summer by two men while she was fixing a campaign sign. Democratic candidate Bernadette Greene-Placentia says the incident occurred Aug. 14 in Sun City, a Phoenix suburb, when she was fixing th…
Freerepublic.com · October 9, 2026
'Beacon of selflessness': ISIS victim Kayla Mueller honored at congressman's swearing-in 10 years after death
Arizona Republican Rep. Abraham Hamadeh was sworn into office on Friday, honoring the memory of ISIS victim Kayla Mueller by using her family's Bible.
Fox News · January 3, 2025
'Want to go to prison?' MAGA lawyer threatens Arizona AG
Pro-Donald Trump lawyer Mike Davis of the Article III Project is going after Arizona Attorney General Kris Mayes, claiming, "You disenfranchised AZ voters and stole your election from Abraham Hamadeh."Although the election was two years ago, Davis is still an…
Raw Story · December 26, 2024
Abraham Hamadeh wins hotly contested Arizona GOP congressional primary
PHOENIX – Republican Abe Hamadeh came out victorious in the crowded Arizona Eighth Congressional District primary. The Associated Press called the race on Wednesday night — a day after voters hit the polls to cast their ballots in the hotly contested primary.…
New York Post · August 1, 2024
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗