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Toss-up · 2010 House
Arizona House
In the 2010 Arizona House race, Raúl Grijalva (D) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
D+6.0
Final polls said
D+2.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magellan Strategies | D+2.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Magellan Strategies2010-09-294
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Arizona House race?
Raúl Grijalva (D) won, by about 6.0 points (D+6.0).
When was the 2010 Arizona House election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.