Democratic
Nominee not yet identified
The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.
Other listed democratic candidates: Connie Chan, Scott Wiener.
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California District 11 election, 2026
Democratic nominee TBD vs. Republican nominee TBD on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Democrat favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+76.6
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+70.62026 national environment
D+6.6District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.8 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (open seat: none). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Nominee not yet identified
The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CA-11. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CA-11; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in California's 11th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
Candidate news
No recent verified candidate stories are available in the site's news feed for this race yet.
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗