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Toss-up · 2006 House
California House
In the 2006 California House race, Jerry McNerney (D) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
D+6.5
Final polls said
D+2.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RT Strategies | D+2.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | GQR | D+2.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Lake Research Partners | R+1.0 | 7.5 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
RT Strategies2006-10-255
Lake Research Partners2006-09-308
GQR2006-09-255
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 California House race?
Jerry McNerney (D) won, by about 6.5 points (D+6.5).
When was the 2006 California House election held?
It was held in November 2006.