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Toss-up · 2010 House
California House
In the 2010 California House race, Jerry McNerney (D) won by about 1 point.
Actual result
D+1.1
Final polls said
R+1.4
3 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | R+6.0 | 7.1 | ✗ |
| 2 | Lake Research Partners | D+10.0 | 8.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | ccAdvertising | R+8.2 | 9.3 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2010-10-107
ccAdvertising2010-09-299
Lake Research Partners2010-09-239
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 California House race?
Jerry McNerney (D) won, by about 1.1 points (D+1.1).
When was the 2010 California House election held?
It was held in November 2010.