Democratic
Jacqui Irwin
Major-party general-election nominee.
← all House races
California District 26 election, 2026
Jacqui Irwin vs. Sam Gallucci on a newly enacted 2026 district map. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Jacqui Irwin favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+23.1
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
D+15.72026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.2 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (open seat: none). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Sam Gallucci
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CA-26. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Jacqui IrwinDEM$1.2M raised
Spent $713kCash on hand $458kDebts $8k20% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Unemployed$129k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$62k
- Retired$40k
- Technology & Communications$35k
- Nonprofit, Labor & Civil Society$32k
States
- CA$689k
- NV$15k
- TX$15k
- DC$14k
- GA$10k
Sam GallucciREP$538k raised
Spent $519kCash on hand $19kDebts $150k22% from donors under $200Self-funded $292k
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Self-Employed & Freelance$23k
- Education & Academia$7k
- Retired$1k
- Legal & Professional Services$700
- Defense & Aerospace$260
States
- CA$145k
- TX$33k
- NC$16k
- AZ$7k
- NV$4k
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CA-26; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in California's 26th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
Candidate news
No recent verified candidate stories are available in the site's news feed for this race yet.
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗