Democratic
Raul Ruiz
Incumbent representative for CA-25. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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California District 25 election, 2026
Raul Ruiz vs. Joe Males on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Raul Ruiz favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+15.3
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+6.02026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Joe Males
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CA-25. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CA-25; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in California's 25th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
Candidate news
Democrats Probe How Much Trump Pardon Recipients Paid to Get Free
Democrats in Congress are investigating whether President Trump’s pardons came with a payout for him. CBS News reports that Democratic Representatives Dave Min and Raul Ruiz, as well as Senator Peter Welch, have sent letters to over a dozen of the people Trum…
The New Republic · May 7, 2026
Trump admin gets stern warning over move that would 'run afoul' of court order
by Ariana Figueroa, Florida PhoenixJanuary 14, 2026WASHINGTON — U.S. District Court Judge Jia Cobb probed on Wednesday whether the Trump administration has violated her court order, after Minnesota lawmakers said they were denied an oversight visit to a U.S. …
Raw Story · January 15, 2026
US Congress Should Protect Child Workers Harvesting Crops
Click to expand Image A 12-year-old girl picks cucumbers on a Michigan farm. © 2009 ROMANO As families across the United States prepare to gather for Thanksgiving this Thursday, too many children face danger cultivating and harve…
Human Rights Watch · November 26, 2025
86 Democrats Condemn Socialism as Zohran Mamdani Meets With Trump
In a country where the cost of living skyrockets while wages remain low, where a few broken bones can leave you in financial ruin, and where the young feel they have no chance at any upward mobility, 86 House Democrats joined Republicans to pass a resolution …
The New Republic · November 21, 2025
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗