Democratic
Raul Ruiz
Incumbent representative for CA-25. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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California District 25 election, 2026
Raul Ruiz vs. Joe Males on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Raul Ruiz favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+12.8
97%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+2.02026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Joe Males
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CA-25. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CA-25; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Democrats Probe How Much Trump Pardon Recipients Paid to Get Free
Democrats in Congress are investigating whether President Trump’s pardons came with a payout for him. CBS News reports that Democratic Representatives Dave Min and Raul Ruiz, as well as Senator Peter Welch, have sent letters to over a dozen of the people Trum…
The New Republic · May 7, 2026
Trump admin gets stern warning over move that would 'run afoul' of court order
by Ariana Figueroa, Florida PhoenixJanuary 14, 2026WASHINGTON — U.S. District Court Judge Jia Cobb probed on Wednesday whether the Trump administration has violated her court order, after Minnesota lawmakers said they were denied an oversight visit to a U.S. …
Raw Story · January 15, 2026
US Congress Should Protect Child Workers Harvesting Crops
Click to expand Image A 12-year-old girl picks cucumbers on a Michigan farm. © 2009 ROMANO As families across the United States prepare to gather for Thanksgiving this Thursday, too many children face danger cultivating and harve…
Human Rights Watch · November 26, 2025
86 Democrats Condemn Socialism as Zohran Mamdani Meets With Trump
In a country where the cost of living skyrockets while wages remain low, where a few broken bones can leave you in financial ruin, and where the young feel they have no chance at any upward mobility, 86 House Democrats joined Republicans to pass a resolution …
The New Republic · November 21, 2025
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗