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Toss-up · 2016 House
California House
In the 2016 California House race, Ami Bera (D) won by about 2 points.
Actual result
D+2.3
Final polls said
D+3.0
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+5.0 | 7.3 | ✗ |
| 2 | Tulchin Research | D+11.0 | 8.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Tulchin Research2016-10-119
Public Opinion Strategies2016-10-027
Tulchin Research2016-09-121
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 California House race?
Ami Bera (D) won, by about 2.3 points (D+2.3).
When was the 2016 California House election held?
It was held in November 2016.