VotePredictor
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Colorado District 8 election, 2026

Manny Rutinel vs. Gabe Evans.

VotePredictor forecast
Manny Rutinel favored
Toss-up · predicted margin D+4.0
58%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+2.0
2026 national environment
D+6.6
District polls
none
Forecast spread
±7.8 points

Margin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.

Democratic

Manny Rutinel

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

  • Dan Wood · Libertarian

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CO-8. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CO-8; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Past results

Every election in Colorado's 8th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.

YearWinnerMargin

Candidate news

Why Do Democrats Keep Posting Videos of Themselves Pumping Iron?

After a historic setback in 2024, the Democratic rebrand appears to be working out. No, seriously—the rebrand is that they’re all filming themselves working out. In late September, Manny Rutinel, a Democrat challenging Rep. Gabe Evans in Colorado, posted a vi…

Mother Jones · October 5, 2026
Trump supercharged ICE. Now battleground candidates in both parties are recalibrating.

Randy Villegas, a Democratic candidate for Congress, addresses a town hall on data centers at the Episcopal Church of the Savior in Hanford, Calif., on Aug. 28. (Gary Kazanjian / For The Times) Since the 2024 election, Democratic congressional candidates hav…

Yahoo Entertainment · September 27, 2026
Congress wants data centers to pay for their power. Whether it'll cut your bill is unclear.

The House of Representatives on Tuesday passed a bipartisan bill aimed at shielding Americans from increased electricity costs associated with data centers being built across the country. The Ratepayer Protection Act , which passed with an overwhelming 417-3…

Yahoo Entertainment · September 16, 2026
Social Security Update: Hundreds of Thousands to Benefit Under New Proposal

A new bipartisan proposal in Congress is looking to modernize how families apply for Social Security survivor benefits. Representatives Sharice Davids, a Kansas Democrat, and Gabe Evans, a Colorado Republican, introduced the Survivor Benefits Application Mode…

Biztoc.com · September 16, 2026

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: CO-7 · CT-1