← all past elections
Toss-up · 2024 House
Colorado House
In the 2024 Colorado House race, Gabe Evans (R) won by less than a point.
Actual result
R+0.7
Final polls said
D+1.7
1 late poll · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emerson College | D+1.7 | 2.4 | ✗ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cook Political | Dem 50% | 0.250 | — |
| 2 | Inside Elections | Dem 50% | 0.250 | — |
| 3 | RealClearPolitics | Dem 50% | 0.250 | — |
| 4 | Fox News | Dem 50% | 0.250 | — |
| 5 | Split Ticket | Dem 57% | 0.325 | ✗ |
| 6 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 59% | 0.348 | ✗ |
| 7 | CNalysis | Dem 60% | 0.360 | ✗ |
| 8 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 67% | 0.454 | ✗ |
| 9 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Dem 71% | 0.504 | ✗ |
| 10 | The Economist | Dem 73% | 0.531 | ✗ |
| 11 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 75% | 0.562 | ✗ |
| 12 | Elections Daily | Dem 75% | 0.562 | ✗ |
| 13 | JHK Forecasts | Dem 78% | 0.613 | ✗ |
| 14 | Race to the WH | Dem 84% | 0.702 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Emerson College2024-10-253
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2024 Colorado House race?
Gabe Evans (R) won, by about 0.7 points (R+0.7).
When was the 2024 Colorado House election held?
It was held in November 2024.