Democratic
Rosa DeLauro
Incumbent representative for CT-3. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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Connecticut District 3 election, 2026
Rosa DeLauro vs. Chris Lancia. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Rosa DeLauro favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+22.8
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
D+14.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.2 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Chris Lancia
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Thomas Egan · Independent
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CT-3. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Rosa DeLauroDEM · incumbent$1.6M raised
Spent $1.8MCash on hand $83k16% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Unemployed$156k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$65k
- Legal & Professional Services$64k
- Nonprofit, Labor & Civil Society$57k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$34k
States
- CT$250k
- DC$87k
- VA$62k
- NY$39k
- CA$39k
Chris LanciaREP$17k raised
Spent $11kCash on hand $6863% from donors under $200Self-funded $1k
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
- LANCIA, CHRISTOPHER$1k
- LANCIA, CHRISTOPHER J$1k
- BOUCHER, ANTHONY$520
- ELKOMOS, KELOG$520
- O'CONNELL, RAYMOND$520
Industries
- Self-Employed & Freelance$2k
- Retired$770
- Transportation & Logistics$156
States
- CT$4k
- NJ$520
- NY$500
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CT-3; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Connecticut's 3rd district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
DeLauro makes official bid to return to the top job on the House Appropriations Committee
Rep. Rosa DeLauro of Connecticut officially launched her bid to chair the House Appropriations Committee for the second time after Democrats clinched control of the House in Tuesday's midterm election. DeLauro, who is 83 and has served in the House since 1991…
Biztoc.com · November 4, 2026
New Medicare Bill Would Let Americans Keep Private Insurance
Representative Rosa DeLauro, a Connecticut Democrat, has introduced the "Medicare for America Act," which would open an expanded Medicare program to every resident while allowing people to retain qualifying employer-sponsored insurance. According to the congr…
Biztoc.com · November 2, 2026
Trump administration unveils plan to tie high birth and marriage rates to transit funding
Communities with high birth and marriage rates could soon gain an advantage in securing federal transit money — a long-sought goal of the Trump administration but one that a top Democratic appropriator calls "bizarre and dystopian."The Federal Transit Adminis…
Yahoo Entertainment · October 6, 2026
Homeland Security uses $20 million in taxpayer funds for pro-Trump ads
WASHINGTON (AP) — The Department of Homeland Security has tapped $20 million to pay for the campaign-style ads glorifying President Donald Trump that have drawn widespread criticism from Republicans and Democrats as a blatant misuse of taxpayer dollars that l…
Yahoo Entertainment · September 29, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗