Democratic
Rosa DeLauro
Incumbent representative for CT-3. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Rosa DeLauro favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+29.4
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+15.52026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Chris Lancia
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CT-3. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CT-3; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Connecticut's 3rd district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Hegseth and Co. Are Trying to Steal Other Agencies’ Funds, Dems Say
Democrats on the House Appropriations Committee have accused Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and the Pentagon of trying to steal funds from the National Institute of Health to make up for the record amount of taxpayer money they’ve spent in their war on Iran. …
The New Republic · September 3, 2026
House Progressive Chair Says 'Every Single Cent' of Trump Tariff Refunds Should Go to Consumers
Congressional Progressive Caucus Chair Greg Casar (D-Texas) said on Monday that "every single cent" of the refunds for President Donald Trump's illegal tariffs should go to consumers who bore the brunt of the financial strain rather than the large corporation…
Common Dreams · August 3, 2026
Three Keys to a Democratic Victory in Maine
Editor’s Note: Welcome to The TNR Blue Book. It’s our new daily newsletter that covers Congress and much more, but with a distinctly TNR twist: Our focus will be strictly on Democrats, liberal and progressive groups, and the fight to take back power and save …
The New Republic · July 21, 2026
After Killings, Homan Says There Will Be ‘More Bloodshed’ Unless Dems ‘Shut Their Mouth’ About ICE
As Democrats demand investigations and accountability after a pair of fatal shootings by immigration agents, the White House border czar, Tom Homan, issued an ominous warning on Wednesday: Shut your mouth or the "bloodshed" will continue.Since July 7, Immigra…
Common Dreams · July 16, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗