VotePredictor
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Connecticut District 3 election, 2026

Rosa DeLauro vs. Chris Lancia.

VotePredictor forecast
Rosa DeLauro favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+17.6
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+15.5
2026 national environment
D+5.5
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Republican

Chris Lancia

Major-party general-election nominee.

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CT-3. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CT-3; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

House Progressive Chair Says 'Every Single Cent' of Trump Tariff Refunds Should Go to Consumers

Congressional Progressive Caucus Chair Greg Casar (D-Texas) said on Monday that "every single cent" of the refunds for President Donald Trump's illegal tariffs should go to consumers who bore the brunt of the financial strain rather than the large corporation…

Common Dreams · August 3, 2026
Three Keys to a Democratic Victory in Maine

Editor’s Note: Welcome to The TNR Blue Book. It’s our new daily newsletter that covers Congress and much more, but with a distinctly TNR twist: Our focus will be strictly on Democrats, liberal and progressive groups, and the fight to take back power and save …

The New Republic · July 21, 2026
After Killings, Homan Says There Will Be ‘More Bloodshed’ Unless Dems ‘Shut Their Mouth’ About ICE

As Democrats demand investigations and accountability after a pair of fatal shootings by immigration agents, the White House border czar, Tom Homan, issued an ominous warning on Wednesday: Shut your mouth or the "bloodshed" will continue.Since July 7, Immigra…

Common Dreams · July 16, 2026
Trump's Homeland boss humiliated by Republican during explosive clash with Democrat: 'Don't you point your finger at me!'

Donald Trump's Homeland Security Secretary Markwayne Mullin clashed so heatedly with a Democratic lawmaker at a committee hearing that even the Republican chairman lost patience with him. Mullin got into a finger-pointing argument with blue-haired Democratic …

Freerepublic.com · June 25, 2026

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: CT-2 · CT-4