VotePredictor
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Connecticut District 3 election, 2026

Rosa DeLauro vs. Chris Lancia.

VotePredictor forecast
Rosa DeLauro favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+20.0
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+14.0
2026 national environment
D+6.6
District polls
none
Forecast spread
±7.8 points

Margin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.

Republican

Chris Lancia

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

  • Thomas Egan · Independent

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CT-3. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CT-3; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Past results

Every election in Connecticut's 3rd district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.

YearWinnerMargin

Candidate news

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Communities with high birth and marriage rates could soon gain an advantage in securing federal transit money — a long-sought goal of the Trump administration but one that a top Democratic appropriator calls "bizarre and dystopian."The Federal Transit Adminis…

Yahoo Entertainment · October 6, 2026
Homeland Security uses $20 million in taxpayer funds for pro-Trump ads

WASHINGTON (AP) — The Department of Homeland Security has tapped $20 million to pay for the campaign-style ads glorifying President Donald Trump that have drawn widespread criticism from Republicans and Democrats as a blatant misuse of taxpayer dollars that l…

Yahoo Entertainment · September 29, 2026
Hegseth and Co. Are Trying to Steal Other Agencies’ Funds, Dems Say

Democrats on the House Appropriations Committee have accused Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and the Pentagon of trying to steal funds from the National Institute of Health to make up for the record amount of taxpayer money they’ve spent in their war on Iran. …

The New Republic · September 3, 2026
House Progressive Chair Says 'Every Single Cent' of Trump Tariff Refunds Should Go to Consumers

Congressional Progressive Caucus Chair Greg Casar (D-Texas) said on Monday that "every single cent" of the refunds for President Donald Trump's illegal tariffs should go to consumers who bore the brunt of the financial strain rather than the large corporation…

Common Dreams · August 3, 2026

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: CT-2 · CT-4