Democratic
Jim Himes
Incumbent representative for CT-4. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Jim Himes favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+35.9
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+25.02026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Michael Goldstein
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CT-4. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CT-4; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Connecticut's 4th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Beaten-down reps make futile Trump admission as they flee DC
WASHINGTON — Will President Donald Trump be more empowered now that Speaker Mike Johnson gaveled the U.S. House of Representatives out of session until after November’s elections? Not necessarily, according to congressional Democrats who are bracing for what …
Raw Story · September 19, 2026
Six Months Post-Maduro, Venezuelan Recovery Defies Critics
Representative Jim Himes, the ranking Democrat on the House Intelligence Committee, drew the parallel directly. “This is exactly the euphoria we felt in 2002 when our military took down the Taliban in Afghanistan,” Himes said, “in 2003 when our military took …
Slashdot.org · August 3, 2026
Trump Was Right. Six Months Post-Maduro, Venezuelan Recovery Defies Critics
When President Donald Trump ordered an early morning raid to arrest Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro in January and brought him to the United States to face trial on narco-terrorism charges, the warnings came fast. House Armed Services Committee ranking De…
Freerepublic.com · July 31, 2026
'Demented' MAGA senator panics colleague who fears he'll 'tee up a coup d’etat'
A top Democrat sounded the alarm on the actions of a MAGA senator and feared he'll "tee up a coup d'etat."During an interview on Bulwark Takes, Rep. Jim Himes (D-CT) shared his thoughts on remarks made earlier this week by Sen. Tommy Tuberville (R-AL), in whi…
Raw Story · July 18, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗