Democratic
Jim Himes
Incumbent representative for CT-4. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Jim Himes favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+29.0
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+23.02026 national environment
D+6.6District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.8 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Michael Goldstein
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Benjamin Wesley · Independent
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CT-4. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CT-4; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Connecticut's 4th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Rep. Jim Himes says the "the Iranians now, in some sense, control what happens on Election Day"
Democratic Rep. Jim Himes of Connecticut told "Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan" that as President Trump rejected Iran's latest proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and restart talks, "the Iranians now, in some sense, control what happens on Election …
CBS News · September 27, 2026
Transcript: Rep. Jim Himes on "Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan," Sept. 27, 2026
The following is the transcript of the interview with Rep. Jim Himes, Democrat of Connecticut, that aired on "Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan" on Sept. 27, 2026.
CBS News · September 27, 2026
"Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan" guests for Sept. 27, 2026
This week's guests include Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian, Louisiana Sen. John Kennedy, Connecticut Rep. Jim Himes and Alexander Yui, Taiwan's representative to the U.S.
CBS News · September 25, 2026
Beaten-down reps make futile Trump admission as they flee DC
WASHINGTON — Will President Donald Trump be more empowered now that Speaker Mike Johnson gaveled the U.S. House of Representatives out of session until after November’s elections? Not necessarily, according to congressional Democrats who are bracing for what …
Raw Story · September 19, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗