VotePredictor
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Florida District 6 election, 2026

Eric Yonce vs. Randy Fine on a newly enacted 2026 district map. Today's article: every forecast for this race →

VotePredictor forecast
Randy Fine favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+24.4
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
R+30.3
2026 national environment
D+8.0
District polls
none
Forecast spread
±6.6 points

Margin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.

Democratic

Eric Yonce

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

  • Andrew Parrott · Libertarian
  • Michael Gist · Independent

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for FL-6. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.

Campaign money

FEC reports through October 14, 2026
Randy FineREP$4.6M raised
Spent $4.5MCash on hand $185kDebts $950k18% from donors under $200Self-funded $950k
Top contributors, industries and states

Industries

  1. Retired$413k
  2. Self-Employed & Freelance$227k
  3. Not Reported$204k
  4. Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$96k
  5. Legal & Professional Services$62k

States

  1. FL$1.3M
  2. NY$235k
  3. CA$80k
  4. TX$68k
  5. VA$43k
Every contribution on GovMoneyGraph ↗
Eric YonceDEM$619k raised
Spent $522kCash on hand $97k91% from donors under $200Self-funded $2k
Top contributors, industries and states

Industries

  1. Unemployed$55k
  2. Self-Employed & Freelance$14k
  3. Not Reported$8k
  4. Nonprofit, Labor & Civil Society$5k
  5. Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals$5k

States

  1. FL$55k
  2. CA$15k
  3. TX$10k
  4. NY$10k
  5. MA$6k
Every contribution on GovMoneyGraph ↗
Michael GistNPA$8k raised
Spent $8kCash on hand −$153Self-funded $7k
Top contributors, industries and states

Contributors

  1. GIST, MICHAEL$8k
Every contribution on GovMoneyGraph ↗

What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for FL-6; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Past results

Every election in Florida's 6th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.

YearWinnerMargin

Candidate news

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: FL-5 · FL-7