Democratic
Ceretta Smith
Major-party general-election nominee.
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Georgia District 12 election, 2026
Ceretta Smith vs. Rick Allen. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Rick Allen favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+8.8
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
R+14.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±6.6 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Rick Allen
Incumbent representative for GA-12. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for GA-12. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Rick AllenREP · incumbent$1.3M raised
Spent $976kCash on hand $1.5MDebts $1.6M3% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Not Reported$160k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$48k
- Retail, Food & Consumer Goods$20k
- Government Relations and Lobbying Services$16k
- Legal & Professional Services$16k
States
- GA$436k
- VA$32k
- FL$23k
- NC$15k
- TX$14k
Ceretta SmithDEM$48k raised
Spent $35kCash on hand $12k43% from donors under $200Self-funded $2k
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Defense & Aerospace$6k
- Nonprofit, Labor & Civil Society$6k
- Unemployed$5k
- Retired$2k
- Not Reported$1k
States
- GA$19k
- CA$500
- FL$410
- VA$350
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for GA-12; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Georgia's 12th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Rep. Rick Allen Has Sold Up to $15K Worth Of Accenture Stock: Here's What You Should Know
A report on October 7, 2025 shows that Representative Rick Allen from Georgia sale stock in Accenture (NYSE:ACN), valued between $1,001 and $15,000. According to the October filing, the transaction occurred on September 12, 2025. At the time of writing, Accen…
Biztoc.com · October 8, 2025
GOP funneled thousands of desperate voters to get help from agency — then gutted it
A New York business frozen out of its checking account. A Georgia chemotherapy patient denied a credit card refund after a product dispute. A New Jersey service member defrauded out of their savings.These consumers — along with hundreds of others — reached ou…
Raw Story · August 6, 2025
These GOP Lawmakers Referred Constituents to the CFPB for Help. Then They Voted to Gut the Agency.
by Joel Jacobs ProPublica is a nonprofit newsroom that investigates abuses of power. Sign up to receive our biggest stories as soon as they’re published. A New York business frozen out of its checking account. A Georgia chemotherapy p…
ProPublica · August 6, 2025
EXCLUSIVE: GOP Lawmaker Looks To Preempt Democrats’ Next War On Appliances
Republican Georgia Rep. Rick Allen introduced legislation Wednesday that would block future Democratic administrations from enforcing draconian appliance rules.
The Daily Caller · July 23, 2025
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗