Actual result
R+29.6
Final polls said
R+10.5
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
R+4.8
✓
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | R+25.0 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor | R+4.8 | 24.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Riggs Research Services | D+4.0 | 33.6 | ✗ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riggs Research Services | 2010-10-27 | 400 | D+4.0 | 34 |
| SurveyUSA | 2010-10-23 | 400 | R+25.0 | 5 |