Nominee not yet identified
The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.
Other listed democratic candidates: Conrad Cable, Matt Gromlich.
Democratic nominee TBD vs. Republican nominee TBD on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
Margin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.
Other listed democratic candidates: Conrad Cable, Matt Gromlich.
The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.
Other listed republican candidates: Gordon Heslop, Mike Johnson, Mike Nichols.
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for LA-4; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Every election in Louisiana's 4th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
No recent verified candidate stories are available in the site's news feed for this race yet.
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗