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Toss-up · 2008 House
Louisiana House
In the 2008 Louisiana House race, John Fleming (R) won by less than a point.
Actual result
R+0.4
Final polls said
D+2.5
2 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+1.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | R+2.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Multi-Quest International | R+5.0 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | The Kitchens Group | D+11.0 | 11.4 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
The Kitchens Group2008-11-1811
Public Opinion Strategies2008-11-171
SurveyUSA2008-11-172
Multi-Quest International2008-11-075
The Kitchens Group2008-11-0610
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Louisiana House race?
John Fleming (R) won, by about 0.4 points (R+0.4).
When was the 2008 Louisiana House election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.