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Toss-up · 2016 House
Louisiana House
In the 2016 Louisiana House race, "Mike" Johnson (R) won by about 30 points.
Actual result
R+30.4
Final polls said
R+24.7
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trafalgar Group | R+24.7 | 5.8 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Trafalgar Group2016-11-166
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Louisiana House race?
"Mike" Johnson (R) won, by about 30.4 points (R+30.4).
When was the 2016 Louisiana House election held?
It was held in November 2016.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.