Democratic
Frank Pallone
Incumbent representative for NJ-6. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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New Jersey District 6 election, 2026
Frank Pallone vs. Hillary Herzig. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Frank Pallone favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+14.4
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
D+6.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.2 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Hillary Herzig
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NJ-6. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Frank PalloneDEM · incumbent$2.8M raised
Spent $2.8MCash on hand $3.1M0% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Not Reported$121k
- Government Relations and Lobbying Services$95k
- Legal & Professional Services$93k
- Technology & Communications$64k
- Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals$39k
States
- NJ$316k
- DC$159k
- VA$79k
- NY$69k
- CA$57k
Hillary HerzigREP$12k raised
Spent $11kCash on hand $614Debts $3k14% from donors under $200Self-funded $5k
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Retired$4k
States
- NJ$4k
- FL$1k
- NV$260
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NJ-6; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in New Jersey's 6th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Democrats Should Get Behind a National AI Data Center Moratorium
It’s becoming clear that one of the most potent political issues of this election cycle is the debate over artificial intelligence and the massive data centers powering this rapidly evolving technology. Polling consistently shows that Americans overwhelmingly…
Common Dreams · October 21, 2026
'Stand With the People': Progressive Caucus Leader Calls on All Democrats to Reject AI Billionaire Cash
The chair of the Congressional Progressive Caucus on Wednesday urged all Democrats to reject campaign cash from billionaires whose wealth stems from the artificial intelligence industry, following news that the president of OpenAI abandoned plans to donate mi…
Common Dreams · October 1, 2026
This Could Be the Biggest Issue of 2027. Dems Are Split on It.
You’re reading The TNR Blue Book. Get daily scoops, strategy, and developments inside the liberal ideas factory delivered right to your inbox. Sign up for free.Inside WashingtonThis could be the biggest issue of 2027. Dems are split on it.Representative Lori …
The New Republic · September 9, 2026
US House Democrat asks Musk to answer for polluting xAI data centers
July 29 : U.S. Representative Frank Pallone, the top Democrat on the House Energy and Commerce Committee, on Wednesday demanded documents and answers from Elon Musk about the environmental and public health impacts of his xAI Colossus data center operations i…
CNA · July 29, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗