← all past elections
Toss-up · 2011 House
New York House
In the 2011 New York House race, Bob Turner (R) won by about 2 points.
Actual result
R+1.7
Final polls said
R+5.4
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | McLaughlin & Associates | EVEN | 1.7 | ✗ |
| 2 | Magellan Strategies | R+4.2 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Public Policy Polling | R+6.0 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 4 | Siena College | R+6.0 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 5 | Global Strategy Group | D+8.0 | 9.7 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2011-09-104
Siena College2011-09-074
Magellan Strategies2011-09-012
McLaughlin & Associates2011-08-312
Global Strategy Group2011-08-3010
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2011 New York House race?
Bob Turner (R) won, by about 1.7 points (R+1.7).
When was the 2011 New York House election held?
It was held in November 2011.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.