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Toss-up · 2011 House
New York House
In the 2011 New York House race, Bob Turner (R) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
R+5.2
Final polls said
R+5.4
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | R+6.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Siena College | R+6.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Magellan Strategies | R+4.2 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | McLaughlin & Associates | EVEN | 5.2 | ✗ |
| 5 | Global Strategy Group | D+8.0 | 13.2 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2011-09-104
Siena College2011-09-074
Magellan Strategies2011-09-012
McLaughlin & Associates2011-08-312
Global Strategy Group2011-08-3010
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2011 New York House race?
Bob Turner (R) won, by about 5.2 points (R+5.2).
When was the 2011 New York House election held?
It was held in November 2011.