Democratic
Greg Landsman
Incumbent representative for OH-1. Voting record, ideology and biography →
← all House races
Ohio District 1 election, 2026
Greg Landsman vs. Eric Conroy on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Greg Landsman favored
Likely D · predicted margin D+10.9
94%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+2.62026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Eric Conroy
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- John Hancock · Libertarian
Polls
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMargin
Quantus Insights2026-08-24D+3.3
Shown for context. The forecast above is fundamentals-only and does not use these polls: tested against 2016–2024, a poll-driven rule beat fundamentals only because of a single wave cycle and reversed without it. See methodology.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for OH-1; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Ohio's 1st district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Every Democrat Who Voted to Defund Schools That Boycott Israel
On Thursday, 33 Democrats joined Republicans to pass a law that would take federal funding away from academic institutions involved in any kind of boycott of or divestment from Israel. The legislation passed 237–169.The Protect Economic and Academic Freedom A…
The New Republic · September 3, 2026
'Cruel and Shameful': ICE Begins Mass Deportation of Haitians After Trump TPS Revocation
A US Immigration and Customs Enforcement charter flight on Thursday deported 161 Haitians following the Trump administration's cancellation of temporary protected status for 350,000 people from the Caribbean nation ravaged by deadly gang violence and a wider …
Common Dreams · August 21, 2026
Chief justice asked to ban prediction markets participation for justices and staff
With the booming prediction markets industry causing concern in Congress, U.S. Rep. Greg Landsman, D-Ohio, has asked Chief Justice John Roberts to ban U.S. Supreme…
Abajournal.com · July 10, 2026
22 Democrats Join GOP to Block Lebanon War Powers Resolution, Enabling Netanyahu's Sabotage of US-Iran Ceasefire
Nearly two dozen Democrats joined almost every Republican on Tuesday to vote down a war powers resolution that would have halted US military participation in Israel's assault on Lebanon, which is threatening to derail President Donald Trump's peace negotiatio…
Common Dreams · June 30, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗