Democratic
Suzanne Bonamici
Incumbent representative for OR-1. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Suzanne Bonamici favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+44.0
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+38.02026 national environment
D+6.6District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.8 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Barbara Kahl
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for OR-1. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for OR-1; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Oregon's 1st district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
Candidate news
Bonamici jumps into House education committee leadership race
Rep. Suzanne Bonamici (D-Ore.) is jumping into the race to lead House education committee Democrats. The Oregon Democrat officially declared she will run to be the top Democrat on the House Education and Workforce Committee in a Dear Colleague letter sent to …
Biztoc.com · October 6, 2026
MAGA dupes broke their brains when this epic fury detonated
It’s just so exhausting to live in the dumbest timeline in global history. I could give you a decade’s worth of examples of MAGA stupidity, and we could spend the next 1,000 words debating over which is the dumbest of the dupes deployed by Dumb Donald’s Deplo…
Raw Story · July 25, 2026
New House Republican attack will spur 'pain and suffering' for students: lawmaker
WASHINGTON — A major legislative package that would put into law President Donald Trump’s push to greatly reduce the responsibilities of the U.S. Department of Education advanced out of a U.S. House panel on Wednesday.The U.S. House Committee on Education and…
Raw Story · July 16, 2026
Oregon Has Civil Rights Problems in Education. This Congresswoman Is Trying to Distract Voters.
Education Secretary Linda McMahon is downsizing an ineffective government bureaucracy, so, naturally, progressive lawmakers are howling. The latest theatrics come from Rep. Suzanne Bonamici, D-Ore., who introduced articles of impeachment against McMahon last …
Daily Signal · June 29, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗