Democratic
Andrea Salinas
Incumbent representative for OR-6. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Andrea Salinas favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+17.0
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+11.02026 national environment
D+6.6District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.8 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
David Russ
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for OR-6. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for OR-6; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Oregon's 6th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Inspired by Seattle Program, Jayapal Bill Would Help US Families Buy Fruits and Veggies
As Americans face rising grocery prices under President Donald Trump and rally behind progressive policies and primary candidates, US Rep. Pramila Jayapal on Thursday introduced a bill that shows what kind of proposals could become reality with more Democrats…
Common Dreams · July 2, 2026
Good Morning, News: Oregon House Republicans Delay Progress in Salem, US DOJ Hid Trump’s Presence in the Epstein Files, and in Today’s Most Shocking (Not) News, Kristi Noem Is a Liar
by Taylor Griggs The Mercury provides news and fun every single day—but your help is essential. If you believe Portland benefits from smart, local journalism and arts coverage, please consider making a small monthly contribution, because without you, t…
The Portland Mercury · February 24, 2026
86 Democrats Condemn Socialism as Zohran Mamdani Meets With Trump
In a country where the cost of living skyrockets while wages remain low, where a few broken bones can leave you in financial ruin, and where the young feel they have no chance at any upward mobility, 86 House Democrats joined Republicans to pass a resolution …
The New Republic · November 21, 2025
National Guard arrival in Portland likely delayed due to processing changes
A processing issue has delayed the deployment of National Guard troops in Portland, but they will still arrive in accordance with President Trump's orders. Democratic Rep. Andrea Salinas of Oregon joins "The Takeout" to discuss her opposition to the move.
CBS News · October 1, 2025
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗