Democratic
Bob Harvie
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Bob Harvie favored
Likely D · predicted margin D+10.5
94%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+1.52026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Brian Fitzpatrick
Incumbent representative for PA-1. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for PA-1. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for PA-1; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
House Votes 214-208 to Curb Trump's War Powers
Lawmakers in the House just sent another warning shot over President Trump's Iran policy. On Thursday, they passed a Democratic-backed war powers resolution aimed at curbing his ability to continue the conflict, with four Republicans crossing the aisle in a 2…
Newser · July 23, 2026
Four Republicans Join All Democrats to Try to Rein in Trump’s War
Four Republicans joined every Democrat in the House of Representatives Thursday to pass a war powers resolution to rein in President Trump on the Iran war. The resolution passed 214–208, with Republican Representatives Thomas Massie of Kentucky, Brian Fitzpat…
The New Republic · July 23, 2026
Four Republicans Rebel Against Trump's Iran War as Conflict Explodes: List
Four House Republicans broke with President Donald Trump and most of their party on Thursday, voting with Democrats to pass a resolution seeking to halt U.S. military action in Iran unless Congress provides explicit authorization. Representatives Brian Fitzpa…
Biztoc.com · July 23, 2026
House rebukes Trump's war in Iran
The House on Thursday passed a resolution to rein in President Trump's military campaign in Iran. Why it matters: It's Congress' second successful rebuke of Trump's Iran war effort, reflecting growing GOP unease with the conflict. Four Republicans — Reps. Bri…
Biztoc.com · July 23, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗