Democratic
Rachel Wallace
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Dan Meuser favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+30.5
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+37.82026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Dan Meuser
Incumbent representative for PA-9. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for PA-9. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for PA-9; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
First known congressional SpaceX stock buys surface after record IPO
Two members of Congress — Rep. Dan Meuser, R-Pa., and Rep. Gil Cisneros, D-Calif. — have disclosed that they or their family members bought SpaceX stock in the days after the company's historic initial public offering, according to publicly accessible House f…
Biztoc.com · July 4, 2026
First known congressional SpaceX stock buys surface after record IPO
Two members of Congress — Rep. Dan Meuser, R-Pa., and Rep. Gil Cisneros, D-Calif. — have disclosed that they or their family members bought SpaceX stock in the days after the company's historic initial public offering, according to publicly accessible House f…
Biztoc.com · July 3, 2026
House Republicans Give Wild Defenses of Trump’s Shady Slush Fund
Republicans are going all out to convince the American people that President Trump’s $1.8 billion taxpayer-funded slush fund for his MAGA allies is actually a good thing.Representative James Comer proclaimed that there’s a “need” for the slush fund.“The thing…
The New Republic · May 22, 2026
Renee Good's Murder: A Rorschach Test About Defiance, Vulnerability and Community
On January 7, Renee Nicole Good was murdered by Jonathan Ross, an “experienced” Immigration and Customs Enforcement agent with more than 10 years with the agency.This tragic event was recorded from multiple angles. This includes a video recorded by Ross himse…
Common Dreams · January 12, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗