Democratic
Rachel Wallace
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Dan Meuser favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+29.6
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+37.82026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Dan Meuser
Incumbent representative for PA-9. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for PA-9. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for PA-9; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Pennsylvania's 9th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
GOP lawmaker's Fox News bit instantly backfires over wild claim: 'An easy choice'
A GOP lawmaker's interview on Fox News instantly backfired Sunday after he uncorked a wild claim about the difference between Democrats and Republicans. Rep. Dan Meuser (R-PA) joined Fox News to discuss the upcoming midterm elections and argue that voters sho…
Raw Story · September 20, 2026
Every House Member Who’s Still Not at Work After a Five-Week Vacation
The House of Representatives has returned from its five-week summer vacation, but for more than three dozen members that extended break apparently wasn’t enough.According to the House clerk, 46 lawmakers failed to make it back to Washington in time for the fi…
The New Republic · September 1, 2026
First known congressional SpaceX stock buys surface after record IPO
Two members of Congress — Rep. Dan Meuser, R-Pa., and Rep. Gil Cisneros, D-Calif. — have disclosed that they or their family members bought SpaceX stock in the days after the company's historic initial public offering, according to publicly accessible House f…
Biztoc.com · July 4, 2026
First known congressional SpaceX stock buys surface after record IPO
Two members of Congress — Rep. Dan Meuser, R-Pa., and Rep. Gil Cisneros, D-Calif. — have disclosed that they or their family members bought SpaceX stock in the days after the company's historic initial public offering, according to publicly accessible House f…
Biztoc.com · July 3, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗