Democratic
Paige Cognetti
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Paige Cognetti favored
Toss-up · predicted margin D+1.9
61%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+6.82026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Rob Bresnahan
Incumbent representative for PA-8. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for PA-8. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for PA-8; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Pennsylvania Democrat targets data centers in drive to oust Republican from House seat
Democrat Paige Cognetti is taking a shot at data centers in her challenge to freshman Republican Rep. Rob Bresnahan, saying "we're not for sale" in a new TV ad.
Biztoc.com · July 28, 2026
‘We’re not for sale’: Pennsylvania Democrat spotlights data-center fury in campaign ads
Democrat Paige Cognetti is taking a shot at artificial intelligence data centers in her challenge to freshman Republican Rep. Rob Bresnahan, saying “we’re not for sale” in a new TV ad in a swing Pennsylvania congressional district where communities are fighti…
Biztoc.com · July 28, 2026
‘We’re not for sale’: Pennsylvania Democrat spotlights data-center fury in campaign ads
The race between Paige Cognetti, the mayor of Scranton, and Rob Bresnahan is considered one of the Democratic Party's best opportunities to pick up a seat.
Fortune · July 28, 2026
Trooper’s death in I-81 crash leads to renewed call for CDL reforms
SPRING BROOK TWP. — In the wake of a fiery Schuylkill County crash that killed a Pennsylvania state trooper this month, U.S. Rep. Rob Bresnahan (R-Pa.) reiterated his support for a proposed law aimed at preventing people in the country illegally from obtainin…
Freerepublic.com · July 14, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗