VotePredictor
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Washington District 3 election, 2026

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez vs. John Braun.

VotePredictor forecast
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+14.4
98%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+3.2
2026 national environment
D+5.5
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Republican

John Braun

Major-party general-election nominee.

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for WA-3. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for WA-3; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

Primary sets stage for WA-3 toss-up between incumbent Democrat and Trump-backed Republican - opb.org

Primary sets stage for WA-3 toss-up between incumbent Democrat and Trump-backed Republicanopb.org Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez survives Washington’s crowded primaryThe Guardian Washington Third Congressional District Primary 2026: Live Election ResultsThe…

Slashdot.org · August 5, 2026
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez race: Results roll in for one of nation’s most watched congressional contests - OregonLive.com

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez race: Results roll in for one of nation’s most watched congressional contestsOregonLive.com Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez survives Washington’s crowded primaryThe Guardian Washington Third Congressional District Primary 2026: Live E…

Slashdot.org · August 5, 2026
Trump's on course to crash and burn — and his actions show he knows it

Trump, his billionaire buddies, and his Republican lickspittles appear to be setting up a possible massive fraud with regard to this fall’s election. It could signal the end of American democracy.We democracy-loving Americans have fought oligarchy three times…

Raw Story · July 25, 2026
Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez Sidesteps Democratic Socialists' Wins, Says She Shares Voters’ ‘Frustration and Anger’

Asked about recent Democratic Socialists' victories, Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D-WA) repeatedly hesitated and did not criticize the movement, while her campaign has received more than $2 million this election cycle through a joint fundraising committee th…

Breitbart News · July 23, 2026

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: WA-2 · WA-4