Democratic
Adam Smith
Incumbent representative for WA-9. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Adam Smith favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+47.0
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+41.02026 national environment
D+6.6District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.8 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Doug Basler
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for WA-9. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for WA-9; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Washington's 9th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Rep. Adam Smith: We Have to Impeach and Remove Trump from Office
On Saturday’s broadcast of CNN’s “Newsroom,” Rep. Adam Smith (D-WA) said it is time to remove President Donald Trump from office through impeachment. Smith said, “President Trump is not paying any attention to Congress. He’s not paying any attention to The p…
Breitbart News · October 11, 2026
Pentagon raises official toll of troops who died during war with Iran to 21
The Pentagon acknowledged late Friday that the number of troops who have died in the Middle East during its operations against Iran is higher than previously reported, and updated the official count to include two more noncombat deaths.The Washington Post exc…
Yahoo Entertainment · October 10, 2026
Outrage over US military plan to livestream firing squad execution
Representative Adam Smith, the top Democrat on the House Armed Services Committee, said the plan is "disturbing and makes a mockery of our legal system."
CNA · October 9, 2026
Democrats unite around Hegseth impeachment push
The News Congressional Democrats aren’t eager to impeach Donald Trump. Pete Hegseth is a different story. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries and his leadership circle remain reluctant to lean too far into talking about impeaching the president if they re…
Semafor.com · October 9, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗