Democratic
Adam Smith
Incumbent representative for WA-9. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Adam Smith favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+48.5
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+42.02026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Doug Basler
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for WA-9. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for WA-9; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Washington's 9th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
'Nothing Short of Torture': Critics Decry Abuse Affirmed by DHS Alligator Alcatraz Probe
While US President Donald Trump publicly joked about giant reptiles devouring would-be escapees from the now-shuttered Alligator Alcatraz immigrant detention center in the Florida Everglades, a newly published report by the Department of Homeland Security's i…
Common Dreams · September 14, 2026
50+ Rights Groups 'Strongly Urge' Congress to Reject US-Israeli Military Integration in NDAA
A coalition of over 50 rights groups on Thursday wrote to leaders in Congress to "strongly urge" them to reject not only specific proposals in each chamber's version of the next Pentagon budget, but also "any legislation seeking to intertwine US and Israeli d…
Common Dreams · September 4, 2026
Trump Condemned for 200+ Extrajudicial Killings After Yearlong Murder Spree at Sea
Wednesday marked one year since President Donald Trump began bombing boats allegedly smuggling drugs in the Caribbean Sea and Pacific Ocean—a grim anniversary that sparked a fresh wave of condemnation from rights advocates across the United States and beyond.…
Common Dreams · September 2, 2026
Every House Member Who’s Still Not at Work After a Five-Week Vacation
The House of Representatives has returned from its five-week summer vacation, but for more than three dozen members that extended break apparently wasn’t enough.According to the House clerk, 46 lawmakers failed to make it back to Washington in time for the fi…
The New Republic · September 1, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗