Democratic
Kim Schrier
Incumbent representative for WA-8. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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Washington District 8 election, 2026
Kim Schrier vs. Spencer Meline. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Kim Schrier favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+16.3
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
D+6.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.2 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Spencer Meline
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for WA-8. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Kim SchrierDEM · incumbent$3.8M raised
Spent $2.4MCash on hand $3.2M6% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
- 314 ACTION IMPACT SLATE$12k
- BUSH, ROGER W$11k
- TONE, JERRY$11k
- SINEGAL, JIM$10k
- O'HARA, PATRICK$10k
Industries
- Unemployed$1.3M
- Self-Employed & Freelance$126k
- Retired$69k
- Technology & Communications$56k
- Education & Academia$52k
States
- WA$2.0M
- CA$69k
- DC$26k
- NY$26k
- VA$18k
Spencer MelineREP$158k raised
Spent $85kCash on hand $73kDebts $85k4% from donors under $200Self-funded $85k
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Retired$16k
- Defense & Aerospace$14k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$6k
- Homemaker$2k
States
- WA$59k
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for WA-8; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Washington's 8th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Every Democrat Who Voted to Defund Schools That Boycott Israel
On Thursday, 33 Democrats joined Republicans to pass a law that would take federal funding away from academic institutions involved in any kind of boycott of or divestment from Israel. The legislation passed 237–169.The Protect Economic and Academic Freedom A…
The New Republic · September 3, 2026
Lawmakers Urge CDC to Track Vitamin K Shot Refusals Amid Rising Parental Concerns
Two U.S. lawmakers have called on the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) to begin tracking refusals of routine vitamin K shots for newborns, citing a rise in parental refusals and the lack of national data on resulting injuries. Representative K…
Naturalnews.com · July 16, 2026
America’s Blood Centers Honors Reps. Tony Wied and Kim Schrier as 2026 Congressional Champions
Washington, District of Columbia, United States, June 11, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Washington, D.C. — America’s Blood Centers (ABC), the national organization of community-based, independent blood centers that supply 60 percent of the nation’s blood supply, t…
GlobeNewswire · June 11, 2026
Dem Rep. Schrier: Inflation's Worse in My Blue State -- Need to End War, Deal with Gouging
During an interview with Seattle ABC affiliate KOMO on Wednesday, Rep. Kim Schrier (D-WA) stated that the latest inflation numbers are “Really bad” but Washington has it worse, “about 1% worse than the rest of the country,” and “the tariffs did The post Dem R…
Breitbart News · May 14, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗