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Toss-up · 2010 House

Washington House

In the 2010 Washington House race, Adam Smith (D) won by about 10 points.

Actual result
D+9.7
Final polls said
D+3.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem

"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#PollsterFinal callMissCalled
1SurveyUSAD+3.06.7✓
2Benenson Strategy GroupD+19.09.3✓
3ccAdvertisingR+0.810.5✗

The polls behind it

4 polls · newest first
PollsterDateMiss
SurveyUSA2010-10-247
ccAdvertising2010-10-0811
Benenson Strategy Group2010-09-199
SurveyUSA2010-09-157

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 2010 Washington House race?

Adam Smith (D) won, by about 9.7 points (D+9.7).

When was the 2010 Washington House election held?

It was held in November 2010.

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