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Toss-up · 2010 House
Washington House
In the 2010 Washington House race, Adam Smith (D) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
D+9.7
Final polls said
D+3.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+3.0 | 6.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | Benenson Strategy Group | D+19.0 | 9.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | ccAdvertising | R+0.8 | 10.5 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2010-10-247
ccAdvertising2010-10-0811
Benenson Strategy Group2010-09-199
SurveyUSA2010-09-157
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Washington House race?
Adam Smith (D) won, by about 9.7 points (D+9.7).
When was the 2010 Washington House election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.