Democratic
Rick Crosson
Major-party general-election nominee.
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Wisconsin District 8 election, 2026
Rick Crosson vs. Tony Wied. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Tony Wied favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+6.1
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
R+16.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±6.6 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Tony Wied
Incumbent representative for WI-8. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for WI-8. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Tony WiedREP · incumbent$1.4M raised
Spent $1.2MCash on hand $242kDebts $635k9% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Retired$142k
- Not Reported$10k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$9k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$7k
- Wholesale & Distribution$7k
States
- WI$311k
- VA$20k
- IL$19k
- TX$17k
- DC$13k
Rick CrossonDEM$168k raised
Spent $106kCash on hand $62k40% from donors under $200Self-funded $4k
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Unemployed$39k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$15k
- Retired$11k
- Not Reported$2k
- Technology & Communications$2k
States
- WI$75k
- MN$2k
- VA$2k
- WA$2k
- IL$2k
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for WI-8; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Wisconsin's 8th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
America’s Blood Centers Honors Reps. Tony Wied and Kim Schrier as 2026 Congressional Champions
Washington, District of Columbia, United States, June 11, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Washington, D.C. — America’s Blood Centers (ABC), the national organization of community-based, independent blood centers that supply 60 percent of the nation’s blood supply, t…
GlobeNewswire · June 11, 2026
Exclusive: Republicans pen OMAR Act, targeting lawmakers who have 'blurred' ethical lines
Republican lawmakers are pushing new legislation on Capitol Hill aimed at reining in members of Congress who take advantage of campaign finances for personal gain. Wisconsin Republican Reps. Tom Tiffany and Tony Wied introduced the Oversight for Members And R…
Freerepublic.com · February 2, 2026
Connect to Congress: Wied and Grothman stand with Trump on ICE, health care and Venezuela
U.S. Reps. Tony Wied, 8th District, and Glenn Grothman, 6th District, offered their support during Connect to Congress interviews on Capitol Hill.
Fox11online.com · January 14, 2026
Exclusive -- Wisconsin County Democrat Staffer Made Death Threats to Rep. Tony Wied, His Office
A staffer for the Democratic Party of Brown County, Wisconsin, made death threats against Rep. Tony Wied (R-WI) and his staff, Breitbart News has learned exclusively. The post Exclusive — Wisconsin County Democrat Staffer Made Death Threats to Rep. Tony Wied,…
Breitbart News · July 23, 2025
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗