Actual result
R+21.1
Final polls said
R+25.0
1 late poll · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+25.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
Polls (3)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 1998-10-24 | 810 | R+25.0 | 4 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 1998-10-06 | 838 | R+30.0 | 9 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 1998-09-09 | 811 | R+30.0 | 9 |