← all past elections
Toss-up · 1998 Senate
Arkansas Senate
In the 1998 Arkansas Senate race, Blanche Lincoln (D) won by about 13 points.
Actual result
D+12.8
Final polls said
D+20.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tarrance Group | D+8.0 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+20.0 | 7.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy1998-10-247
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy1998-10-060
Tarrance Group1998-09-085
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy1998-09-083
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 1998 Arkansas Senate race?
Blanche Lincoln (D) won, by about 12.8 points (D+12.8).
When was the 1998 Arkansas Senate election held?
It was held in November 1998.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.