Actual result
R+5.4
Final polls said
R+1.5
4 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ethridge & Associates LLC | R+3.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+2.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+1.0 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | American Research Group | R+1.0 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | Opinion Research Associates | EVEN | 5.4 | ✗ |
Polls (7)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-11-02 | 1549 | R+2.0 | 3 |
| Ethridge & Associates LLC | 2000-10-31 | 286 | R+3.0 | 2 |
| Opinion Research Associates | 2000-10-29 | 700 | EVEN | 5 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-28 | 625 | R+1.0 | 4 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-09-27 | 629 | R+2.0 | 3 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | R+1.0 | 4 |
| Ethridge & Associates LLC | 2000-09-08 | 300 | R+2.0 | 3 |