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Toss-up · 2000 President
Arkansas President
In the 2000 Arkansas President race, George W. Bush (R) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
R+5.4
Final polls said
R+1.5
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ethridge & Associates LLC | R+3.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+2.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+1.0 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | American Research Group | R+1.0 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | Opinion Research Associates | EVEN | 5.4 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2000-11-023
Ethridge & Associates LLC2000-10-312
Opinion Research Associates2000-10-295
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2000-10-284
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2000-09-273
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2000 Arkansas President race?
George W. Bush (R) won, by about 5.4 points (R+5.4).
When was the 2000 Arkansas President election held?
It was held in November 2000.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.