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Toss-up · 2002 Senate
Arkansas Senate
In the 2002 Arkansas Senate race, Mark L. Pryor (D) won by about 8 points.
Actual result
D+7.8
Final polls said
D+8.8
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gallup | D+8.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Opinion Research Associates | D+8.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Zogby Analytics | D+12.0 | 4.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics2002-11-034
Gallup2002-11-010
Zogby Analytics2002-11-013
Opinion Research Associates2002-10-250
Opinion Research Associates2002-10-183
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 Arkansas Senate race?
Mark L. Pryor (D) won, by about 7.8 points (D+7.8).
When was the 2002 Arkansas Senate election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.