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Toss-up · 2002 Senate
South Dakota Senate
In the 2002 South Dakota Senate race, Tim Johnson (D) won by less than a point.
Actual result
D+0.2
Final polls said
R+0.2
9 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+0.1 | 0.3 | ✗ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+2.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | GQR | D+2.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Jim Meader (KELOLAND-TV) | D+3.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | Gallup | R+3.0 | 3.2 | ✗ |
| 6 | CBS News | R+3.0 | 3.2 | ✗ |
| 7 | Zogby Analytics | R+4.0 | 4.2 | ✗ |
| 8 | OnMessage Inc. | R+5.0 | 5.2 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
16 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Opinion Strategies2002-11-030
Zogby Analytics2002-11-034
Gallup2002-11-013
Zogby Analytics2002-11-014
Public Opinion Strategies2002-10-283
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 South Dakota Senate race?
Tim Johnson (D) won, by about 0.2 points (D+0.2).
When was the 2002 South Dakota Senate election held?
It was held in November 2002.