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Toss-up · 2002 Senate
South Dakota Senate
In the 2002 South Dakota Senate race, Tim Johnson (D) won by less than a point.
Actual result
D+0.2
Final polls said
R+0.2
9 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+0.1 | 0.3 | ✗ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+2.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | GQR | D+2.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Jim Meader (KELOLAND-TV) | D+3.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | Gallup | R+3.0 | 3.2 | ✗ |
| 6 | CBS News | R+3.0 | 3.2 | ✗ |
| 7 | Zogby Analytics | R+4.0 | 4.2 | ✗ |
| 8 | OnMessage Inc. | R+5.0 | 5.2 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
16 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Opinion Strategies2002-11-030
Zogby Analytics2002-11-034
Gallup2002-11-013
Zogby Analytics2002-11-014
Public Opinion Strategies2002-10-283
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 South Dakota Senate race?
Tim Johnson (D) won, by about 0.2 points (D+0.2).
When was the 2002 South Dakota Senate election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.