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Toss-up · 2004 President
Colorado President
In the 2004 Colorado President race, George W. Bush (R) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
R+4.7
Final polls said
R+4.0
16 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+5.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Ciruli Associates | R+6.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Gallup | R+6.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | R+3.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 5 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+7.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 6 | Zogby Analytics | R+2.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 7 | American Research Group | R+1.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 8 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+9.0 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 9 | FM3 Research | EVEN | 4.7 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
26 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics2004-10-313
SurveyUSA2004-10-312
SurveyUSA2004-10-291
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-282
Zogby Analytics2004-10-276
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Colorado President race?
George W. Bush (R) won, by about 4.7 points (R+4.7).
When was the 2004 Colorado President election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.