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Toss-up · 2004 President
South Dakota President
In the 2004 South Dakota President race, George W. Bush (R) won by about 21 points.
Actual result
R+21.5
Final polls said
R+20.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | McLaughlin & Associates | R+22.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+19.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | American Research Group | R+19.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Zogby Analytics | R+28.0 | 6.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+10.0 | 11.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
McLaughlin & Associates2004-10-231
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-202
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2004-10-1211
Zogby Analytics2004-09-267
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-09-218
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 South Dakota President race?
George W. Bush (R) won, by about 21.5 points (R+21.5).
When was the 2004 South Dakota President election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.