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Toss-up · 2004 Senate
Colorado Senate
In the 2004 Colorado Senate race, Ken Salazar (D) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
D+4.8
Final polls said
D+3.1
14 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FM3 Research | D+5.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | D+4.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Ciruli Associates | D+4.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Public Opinion Strategies | D+6.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | Global Strategy Group | D+6.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 6 | Harstad Strategic Research | D+6.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 7 | Tarrance Group | D+2.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 8 | Zogby Analytics | D+8.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 9 | Gallup | D+1.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 10 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | EVEN | 4.8 | ✗ |
| 11 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+1.0 | 5.8 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
23 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-311
Zogby Analytics2004-10-303
SurveyUSA2004-10-293
Zogby Analytics2004-10-266
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-265
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Colorado Senate race?
Ken Salazar (D) won, by about 4.8 points (D+4.8).
When was the 2004 Colorado Senate election held?
It was held in November 2004.