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Toss-up · 2004 Senate
Colorado Senate
In the 2004 Colorado Senate race, Ken Salazar (D) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
D+4.8
Final polls said
D+3.1
14 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FM3 Research | D+5.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | D+4.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Ciruli Associates | D+4.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Public Opinion Strategies | D+6.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | Global Strategy Group | D+6.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 6 | Harstad Strategic Research | D+6.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 7 | Tarrance Group | D+2.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 8 | Zogby Analytics | D+8.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 9 | Gallup | D+1.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 10 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | EVEN | 4.8 | ✗ |
| 11 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+1.0 | 5.8 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
23 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-311
Zogby Analytics2004-10-303
SurveyUSA2004-10-293
Zogby Analytics2004-10-266
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-265
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Colorado Senate race?
Ken Salazar (D) won, by about 4.8 points (D+4.8).
When was the 2004 Colorado Senate election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.