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Toss-up · 2004 Senate
South Dakota Senate
In the 2004 South Dakota Senate race, John R. Thune (R) won by about 1 point.
Actual result
R+1.1
Final polls said
R+1.0
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zogby Analytics | R+2.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+3.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | McLaughlin & Associates | R+4.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | GQR | D+2.0 | 3.1 | ✗ |
| 5 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+2.0 | 3.1 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
10 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics2004-10-251
GQR2004-10-253
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2004-10-252
McLaughlin & Associates2004-10-233
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-203
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 South Dakota Senate race?
John R. Thune (R) won, by about 1.1 points (R+1.1).
When was the 2004 South Dakota Senate election held?
It was held in November 2004.