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Toss-up · 2004 Senate
South Dakota Senate
In the 2004 South Dakota Senate race, John R. Thune (R) won by about 1 point.
Actual result
R+1.1
Final polls said
R+1.0
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zogby Analytics | R+2.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+3.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | McLaughlin & Associates | R+4.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | GQR | D+2.0 | 3.1 | ✗ |
| 5 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+2.0 | 3.1 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
10 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics2004-10-251
GQR2004-10-253
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2004-10-252
McLaughlin & Associates2004-10-233
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-203
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 South Dakota Senate race?
John R. Thune (R) won, by about 1.1 points (R+1.1).
When was the 2004 South Dakota Senate election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.