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Toss-up · 2006 Governor

Arkansas Governor

In the 2006 Arkansas Governor race, Mike Beebe (D) won by about 15 points.

Actual result
D+14.9
Final polls said
D+11.0
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
Winner
Dem

"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#PollsterFinal callMissCalled
1Constituent Dynamics/RT StrategiesD+13.01.9
2University of Arkansas Department of Political ScienceD+13.01.9
3Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)D+12.02.9
4Opinion Research AssociatesD+18.03.1
5SurveyUSAD+9.05.9
6Zogby AnalyticsR+2.917.8

The polls behind it

13 polls · newest first
PollsterDateMiss
SurveyUSA2006-11-046
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2006-10-293
Zogby Analytics2006-10-2518
Opinion Research Associates2006-10-243
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2006-10-237

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 2006 Arkansas Governor race?

Mike Beebe (D) won, by about 14.9 points (D+14.9).

When was the 2006 Arkansas Governor election held?

It was held in November 2006.

Which party matches you?

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