← all past elections
Toss-up · 2010 Governor
South Dakota Governor
In the 2010 South Dakota Governor race, Dennis M. Daugaard (R) won by about 23 points.
Actual result
R+23.0
Final polls said
R+13.7
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+19.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+19.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Nielson Brothers Polling | R+3.0 | 20.0 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Nielson Brothers Polling2010-10-2120
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-204
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2010-10-204
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-10-041
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-09-086
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 South Dakota Governor race?
Dennis M. Daugaard (R) won, by about 23.0 points (R+23.0).
When was the 2010 South Dakota Governor election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.