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Arizona 2026 elections
Everything on Arizona's 2026 ballot and in its congressional delegation, in one place: the Governor race, 3 competitive U.S. House districts, 2 senators and 9 representatives — each with a daily-updated forecast or voting record.
Statewide races
Competitive House districts (3)
District forecasts are fundamentals-based — presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment — with district polling blended in where it exists. Click one to see why.
A fundamentals forecast blended with 2 district polls. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+1.0, held by Juan Ciscomani (R). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+0.2; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+6.8) shifts every district 3.0 points toward Democrats; blended with the polling, the predicted margin is D+2.6 — a 69% Democratic win. Full race details →
A fundamentals forecast blended with 1 district poll. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+3.0, held by David Schweikert (R). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is D+0.1; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+6.8) shifts every district 3.0 points toward Democrats; blended with the polling, the predicted margin is D+3.0 — a 69% Democratic win. Full race details →
A fundamentals forecast blended with 1 district poll. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+15.0, held by Eli Crane (R). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+14.2; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+6.8) shifts every district 3.0 points toward Democrats; blended with the polling, the predicted margin is R+6.0 — a 84% Republican win. Full race details →
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives (9)
Past results
Every U.S. Senate election in Arizona we hold a result for. Both of the state's Senate seats, which are elected on separate cycles.
YearWinnerMargin
Past results
Every Arizona election for governor we hold a result for.
YearWinnerMargin