← all past elections
Toss-up · 2012 House
Arizona House
In the 2012 Arizona House race, Kyrsten Sinema (D) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
D+4.1
Final polls said
D+4.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GBAO | D+4.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Impact Research | D+5.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Impact Research2012-09-101
GBAO2012-09-090
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 Arizona House race?
Kyrsten Sinema (D) won, by about 4.1 points (D+4.1).
When was the 2012 Arizona House election held?
It was held in November 2012.