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Toss-up · 2012 House
California House
In the 2012 California House race, Jeff Denham (R) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
R+5.4
Final polls said
EVEN
2 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Momentum Analysis | R+2.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | D+2.0 | 7.4 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Momentum Analysis2012-09-303
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department2012-09-107
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 California House race?
Jeff Denham (R) won, by about 5.4 points (R+5.4).
When was the 2012 California House election held?
It was held in November 2012.