VotePredictor2026

Updated 8 Sept 2026

California 2026 elections

Everything on California's 2026 ballot and in its congressional delegation, in one place: the Governor race, 2 competitive U.S. House districts, 2 senators and 51 representatives — each with a daily-updated forecast or voting record.

Statewide races

Competitive House districts (2)

District forecasts are fundamentals-based (no district polls yet) — presidential lean, incumbency, and the national environment. Click one to see why.

CA-48new map

Marni von Wilpert (D) vs Jim Desmond (R) · pres lean D+3.5

Lean D

68% · D+3.2

No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is D+3.5, a newly drawn 2026 district. From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is D+1.6; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+5.3) shifts every district 1.6 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted D+3.2 — a 68% Democratic win. Full race details →

CA-13new map

Adam Gray (D) vs Kevin Lincoln (R) · pres lean D+0.4

Lean D

79% · D+5.5

No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is D+0.4, a newly drawn 2026 district. From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is D+3.9; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+5.3) shifts every district 1.6 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted D+5.5 — a 79% Democratic win. Full race details →

U.S. Senators

Adam B. SchiffD · U.S. Senator Alex PadillaD · U.S. Senator

U.S. Representatives (51)

James GallagherR · District 1 Jared HuffmanD · District 2 Kevin KileyI · District 3 Mike ThompsonD · District 4 Tom McClintockR · District 5 Ami BeraD · District 6 Doris O. MatsuiD · District 7 John GaramendiD · District 8 Josh HarderD · District 9 Mark DeSaulnierD · District 10 Nancy PelosiD · District 11 Lateefah SimonD · District 12 Adam GrayD · District 13 Kevin MullinD · District 15 Sam T. LiccardoD · District 16 Ro KhannaD · District 17 Zoe LofgrenD · District 18 Jimmy PanettaD · District 19 Vince FongR · District 20 Jim CostaD · District 21 David G. ValadaoR · District 22 Jay ObernolteR · District 23 Salud O. CarbajalD · District 24 Raul RuizD · District 25 Julia BrownleyD · District 26 George WhitesidesD · District 27 Judy ChuD · District 28 Luz M. RivasD · District 29 Laura FriedmanD · District 30 Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.D · District 31 Brad ShermanD · District 32 Pete AguilarD · District 33 Jimmy GomezD · District 34 Norma J. TorresD · District 35 Ted LieuD · District 36 Sydney Kamlager-DoveD · District 37 Linda T. SánchezD · District 38 Mark TakanoD · District 39 Young KimR · District 40 Ken CalvertR · District 41 Robert GarciaD · District 42 Maxine WatersD · District 43 Nanette Diaz BarragánD · District 44 Derek TranD · District 45 J. Luis CorreaD · District 46 Dave MinD · District 47 Darrell IssaR · District 48 Mike LevinD · District 49 Scott H. PetersD · District 50 Sara JacobsD · District 51 Juan VargasD · District 52

Past results

Every U.S. Senate election in California we hold a result for. Both of the state's Senate seats, which are elected on separate cycles.

YearWinnerMargin

2024Adam B. Schiff(D)D+17.8

2022Alex Padilla(D)D+22.1

2018Dianne Feinstein(D)D+8.3

2016Kamala Harris(D)D+23.2

2012Dianne Feinstein(D)D+25.1

2010Barbara Boxer(D)D+10.0

2006Dianne Feinstein(D)D+24.4

2004Barbara Boxer(D)D+19.9

2000Dianne Feinstein(D)D+19.3

1998Barbara Boxer(D)D+10.1

Past results

Every California election for governor we hold a result for.

YearWinnerMargin

2022Gavin Newsom(D)D+18.4

2018Gavin Newsom(D)D+23.9

2014Jerry Brown(D)D+19.9

2010Jerry Brown(D)D+12.9

2006Arnold Schwarzenegger(R)R+17.0

2003Arnold Schwarzenegger(R)R+17.1

2002Gray Davis(D)D+4.9

1998Gray Davis(D)D+19.6

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