California 2026 elections
Everything on California's 2026 ballot and in its congressional delegation, in one place: the Governor race, 4 competitive U.S. House districts, and its 2 senators and 51 representatives — each with a daily-updated forecast or voting record.
Statewide races
Competitive House districts (4)
District forecasts are fundamentals-based (no district polls yet) — presidential lean, incumbency, and the national environment. Click one to see why.
CA-35new mapnew 2026 map district · pres lean D+7.8Toss-up61% · D+2.0
No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is D+7.8, a newly drawn 2026 district. From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+2.9; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+5.2) shifts every district 4.9 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted D+2.0 — a 61% Democratic win.
CA-47new mapnew 2026 map district · pres lean D+4.0Toss-up63% · D+2.2
No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is D+4.0, a newly drawn 2026 district. From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+2.7; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+5.2) shifts every district 4.9 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted D+2.2 — a 63% Democratic win.
CA-22new mapnew 2026 map district · pres lean R+2.0Lean D67% · D+3.0
No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+2.0, a newly drawn 2026 district. From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+1.9; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+5.2) shifts every district 4.9 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted D+3.0 — a 67% Democratic win.
CA-40new mapnew 2026 map district · pres lean R+12.0Lean R81% · R+6.0
No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+12.0, a newly drawn 2026 district. From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+10.9; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+5.2) shifts every district 4.9 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted R+6.0 — a 81% Republican win.