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Toss-up · 2014 Senate
Arkansas Senate
In the 2014 Arkansas Senate race, Tom Cotton (R) won by about 17 points.
Actual result
R+17.1
Final polls said
R+5.1
8 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of Arkansas Department of Political Science | R+13.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Hendrix College | R+8.5 | 8.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Public Policy Polling | R+8.0 | 9.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Rasmussen Reports | R+7.0 | 10.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | R+7.0 | 10.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | YouGov | R+5.0 | 12.1 | ✓ |
| 7 | Gravis Marketing | R+4.0 | 13.1 | ✓ |
| 8 | Marist College | R+2.0 | 15.1 | ✓ |
| 9 | Suffolk University | D+1.8 | 18.9 | ✗ |
| 10 | Opinion Research Associates | D+2.0 | 19.1 | ✗ |
| 11 | Hickman Analytics | D+3.0 | 20.1 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
17 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Opinion Research Associates2014-10-3119
Public Policy Polling2014-10-319
Rasmussen Reports2014-10-2810
Opinion Research Associates2014-10-2518
University of Arkansas Department of Political Science2014-10-244
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Arkansas Senate race?
Tom Cotton (R) won, by about 17.1 points (R+17.1).
When was the 2014 Arkansas Senate election held?
It was held in November 2014.