Actual result
D+12.1
Final polls said
D+3.0
1 late poll · ✓
Model predicted
D+1.1
✓
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Remington Research Group | D+3.0 | 9.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor | D+1.1 | 11.1 | ✓ |
Polls (1)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remington Research Group | 2016-10-22 | 1198 | D+3.0 | 9 |