Actual result
D+16.1
Final polls said
D+33.0
1 late poll · ✓
Model predicted
D+32.5
✓
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor | D+32.5 | 16.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | D+33.0 | 16.9 | ✓ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire Survey Center | 2016-10-22 | 299 | D+33.0 | 17 |
| University of New Hampshire Survey Center | 2016-09-17 | 266 | D+42.0 | 26 |